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Yes I think you're correct

I’m not sure if you would know the answer to this, but should I bring this up as an issue to the AGP Google team?

@no can you chime in here? Have you seen this jar already in cache misses?

I think this may have been a red herring. I was looking at the other mismatches and found that somehow a transform of an external dependency (a google material library) was different on my machine than on my CI server. After clearing that out it seemed to accept my remote cache build entry. So perhaps this didn’t matter?